South Carolinians overwhelmingly
favor Convention of States
(Jan. 3, 2018-South Carolina) – The Trafalgar Group (TFG), recognized for having the most accurate South Carolina polling in the 2016 GOP primary and general election as well as nationally in battleground states and Electoral College projection, conducted a month-long survey from November 29th to December 23rd, measuring South Carolina voters’ support for the Convention of States proposal.
Voters were asked about their initial reaction to a Convention of States, then polled separately on their views of congressional term limits, federal spending limits, and limiting federal power. After being confronted with these individual issues, voters were asked again about a Convention of States relating to these particular issues.
The survey, commissioned by Convention of States Action, is the most extensive survey done in South Carolina thus far relating to these issues and the 2018 gubernatorial election. It included over 2170 respondents from a random stratified selection of likely 2018 general election and primary voters. The margin of error is +/- 2.10.
Convention of States Initial Favorability
Convention of States Post-Explanation Favorability
Commenting on the survey, Convention of States Action President Mark Meckler said, “With so many states having acted already, this polling now demonstrates that it is time for the South Carolina legislature to act on the Convention of States resolution immediately. The excuse of alleged ‘division’ among constituents has been definitively laid to rest. The vast majority are in favor. The burden is now squarely on the legislature to act quickly and decisively to be the first state in 2018 to make the call.”
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Pollster at The Trafalgar Group said, "This survey confirms what we expected. The Convention of States questions demonstrate that frustration with the way Washington does business has resulted in a growing number of Palmetto state voters embracing constitutional remedies that go around congress for needed reform."
Cahaly also stated, “Based on these numbers I wouldn't be too surprised, in an election year, to see the South Carolina General Assembly pass the Conventions of States call and join the majority of Southern states already on board with this movement.”
The twelve states that have already passed applications are Georgia, Florida, Alaska, Alabama, Indiana, Tennessee, Louisiana, Oklahoma, North Dakota, Arizona, Missouri, and Texas.
Representative Bill Taylor (R - Aiken), who is the primary sponsor of the Conventions of States bill in the South Carolina State House said, '“When two-thirds of South Carolina voters favor reining in the out-of-control federal government, I call on my fellow legislators to heed that call and represent the citizens who elected them by voting to pass the Article V Convention of States Resolution.”
“With nearly 2,200 people surveyed, this is the most comprehensive poll ever done on the Article V issue and was conducted by the polling firm that has a track record of having the pulse of South Carolinians and getting it right.”
The Trafalgar Group is widely recognized as the most accurate polling firm of the 2016 election cycle, correctly forecasting the results in key battleground and other states (PA, FL, NC, MI, OH, CO, GA) and exactly predicting the Trump electoral college margin of victory (306-232). The results and information of their polls have been featured in thousands of U.S. and global news stories, television networks, and high-profile polling web sites like Real Clear Politics. Want to get involved in the Convention of States effort? Click the blue button below to learn more.
Complete Survey Results
More from Rep. Taylor's Legislative Newsletter
January 4, 2018: What are YOU Thinkin?
It's clear that South Carolinians know our bloated federal
government is out of control and Washington D.C. politicians and
bureaucrats continue their overreach into our lives and personal
liberty. They are spending America into bankruptcy and continuing to put
forth mounds of federal regulations that put a stranglehold on
businesses and citizens despite the best efforts by President Trump to
restrain the federal government.
New Poll: Two-Thirds of S.C. Voters Favor Convention of States
A mega-survey was commission by Convention of States Action. The
month-long survey polled nearly 2,200 S.C. voters representing every
county and balanced for gender, demographics and political viewpoints.
It's a cross section of Palmetto State voters with a margin of error is
only +/- 2.10.
Voters were polled separately on their views of congressional term
limits, federal spending limits, and limiting federal power. After being
confronted with these individual issues, voters were then asked about a
Convention of States relating to these particular issues. The results:
S.C. voters disapprove of the U.S. Congress by 83%, only 10% approval rating:
By a nearly 3-to-1 margin S.C. voters favor limiting federal spending:
Nearly 80% of S.C. voters favor term limits for the U.S. Congress and federal judges:
Two-thirds of all S.C. voters favor the call for a Convention of States:
I have been the primary sponsor of the Article V legislation in the
House since 2013 where its progress has been stalled by a few. Given
these survey results that show two-thirds of S.C. voters favor getting
control of our federal government, I call on my fellow legislators to
heed that call and represent the citizens who elected them by voting to
pass the Article V Convention of States Resolution.
Commenting on the survey, Convention of States Action President Mark
Meckler said, "With so many states having acted already, this polling
now demonstrates that it is time for the South Carolina legislature to
act on the Convention of States resolution immediately. The excuse of
alleged 'division' among constituents has been definitively laid to
rest. The vast majority are in favor. The burden is now squarely on
the legislature to act quickly and decisively to be the first state in
2018 to make the call.
Robert Cahaly, Senior Strategist and Pollster at The Trafalgar Group
said, "This survey confirms what we expected. The Convention of States
questions demonstrate that frustration with the way Washington does
business has resulted in a growing number of Palmetto state voters
embracing constitutional remedies that go around congress for needed
PREVIOUS POLL: January 10, 2014
South Carolinians Favor Article V Convention of States
Voters Overwhelmingly Dissatisfied with Federal Government
January 10, 2014 - Columbia, SC: Three quarters of South Carolina voters are dissatisfied with the performance of the federal government and a large majority favor an Article V Convention of States to course-correct Washington.
The South Carolina statewide poll was conducted January 2-6, 2014. The survey included 1264 voters that mirrored the state's political make up, general voting profile and geography.
75% Are Dissatisfied with Washington DC
When asked how 'satisfied' they are with the overall performance of the federal government, only 18% of South Carolinians say they are 'satisfied'. That compares to 75% who are 'dissatisfied'. The intensity of the dissatisfaction is extremely high with 60% voting they are 'very dissatisfied'. Seven percent had no opinion.
By a three-to-one margin South Carolinians believe the federal government, including Congress and the Executive and Judicial branches, has exceeded its Constitutional authority. Sixty one percent 'agree' that Washington is overstepping its legal bounds compared with 21% who 'disagree'. Sixteen percent had no opinion.
Convention of State Legislation
Legislation has been pre-filed in both the South Carolina House of Representatives (H.3233) and Senate (S.545) calling for an Article V Convention of States (COS) for the express and sole purpose of limiting the power and jurisdiction of the federal government.
7 in 10 Voters Favor a Convention of States
The South Carolina poll asked citizens their views on the Convention of States initiative. Overall, 71% favor the approach when it is explained.
In the first of two questions, when asked if South Carolina should join other states in calling for a Convention of States, 32% were in favor, 32% opposed and 36% were undecided.
Because the COS initiative is a new concept to many voters, a second question was asked of those who opposed or undecided in the first question. The initiative was further defined with this question: "Would you support South Carolina's call for a Convention of States if the purpose was to establish term limits for members of Congress and a balanced budget amendment for the federal government." The explanation of specific potential amendments resulted in a majority giving their support. Of those who were previously opposed or undecided, 58% favored the Convention of States, 17% opposed and 25% remained undecided.
Rep. Bill Taylor (R-Aiken), the primary sponsor of the Convention of States legislation in the S.C. House, said, "I'm thrilled that so many South Carolinian's from across the political spectrum support the Article V Convention of States initiative. Very few issues poll as high as 71%. That number will grow as more people become familiar with this constitutional opportunity." Taylor added, "We have only begun the grassroots effort to educate citizens that COS is the safest, legitimate and most effective means to solve the problems in Washington. Fortunately, our Founders knew the federal government might one day be too large, too powerful and unwilling to curtail itself that they specifically inserted Article V in the Constitution giving states a lawful and orderly mechanism to restrain a runaway federal government."
South Carolinians' dissatisfaction with the federal government evidenced in this survey mirrors the recent AP-NORC national poll showing 70% of Americans lack confidence in the government's ability "to make progress on the important problems and issues facing the country in 2014."
Dr. Michael Farris, the well-known constitutional litigator and head of the national Convention of States Project, responded to the survey results, "South Carolinians have shown their good judgment and common sense in two ways. First, they understand that Washington DC is broken and will never voluntarily relinquish any power. Second, they believe that it is time to use the very process the Founders gave us to stop federal power grabs. A Convention of States is the only solution that is big as the problem."
South Carolina is taking a lead in the Convention of States initiative that states that if two-thirds of the States submit an application to Congress, Congress must call a Convention of States for the purpose of proposing amendments to the Constitution. Each state sends an appointed delegation to the convention, where the states discuss and vote upon amendment proposals. A Convention of states can only propose amendments. By itself, it cannot change one word of the Constitution. Each state represented in a convention would have only one vote on any proposed amendments to the United States Constitution. Any amendment coming out of an Article V Convention of States would still require 3/4ths of the states (38) to actually become part of the Constitution. Conversely, it would only take 13 states to thwart any amendment proposal. This is a rigorous process that by design, will take a lot of agreement among a lot of states. The process is identical to the process used for all 27 existing amendments to the Constitution with the notable difference that proposed amendments will come from the states rather than Washington D.C.
Rep. Taylor, a former media researcher, sponsored the survey that was conducted by True South Communications during the first few days of January.
Said Taylor, "It is vitally important to seek citizens' input into the legislative process. My goal in conducting this research was to understand the level of support the Convention of States initiative has among South Carolinian's. In only a month since the legislation was pre-filed, it's clear we are on the right path and support will continue to grow as more people understand that our Founders intentionally gave us a remedy in Article V of the Constitution."